Betting tip: first double in NL!
Germany needs a win here, and should be at least two goals in Bulgaria.
Match: Serbia vs Germany + Bulgaria vs Iceland
League / Competition: Nations League
Our Pick: Germany to win + over 1,5 goals in Bulgaria-Iceland
Odds: 1.84
Market: Other
Analyst Confidence: 5/5
Germany have a clear advantage heading into this Nations League meeting. Serbia have struggled badly in Group A2, losing all four matches and conceding eight goals while scoring just three.
Germany already demonstrated their superiority in the reverse fixture, securing a 2–0 victory. They also have much more quality and depth across the squad, particularly in attacking areas, where Florian Wirtz and Kai Havertz can cause Serbia significant problems.
Serbia’s recent form is another major concern. Six consecutive defeats suggest a team lacking confidence, and they now face a German side that still needs points to keep its qualification hopes alive.
Germany should have enough individual quality and motivation to take all three points in Belgrade.
+
This Nations League encounter offers good potential for at least two goals. Iceland have been the stronger side in Group C4 and have scored six goals across their opening four group matches.
The first meeting between these teams ended in a convincing 3–0 victory for Iceland. That result demonstrated Iceland’s ability to exploit Bulgaria’s defensive weaknesses.
Bulgaria have also shown that they can contribute offensively, scoring five goals across their last five matches. With the hosts needing points and Iceland looking to strengthen their position at the top of the group, there are reasons to expect an open contest.
The over 1,5 goals market provides a sensible option without needing a particularly high-scoring game.