Betting tip: US Open double!
Two tight games and its hard to prediction a winner so four or five sets is very likely.
Match: Michelsen vs Etcheverry + Medvedev vs Tiafoe
League / Competition: US Open
Our Pick: Over 3,5 set in both matches
Odds: 2.35
Market: Over/Under
Analyst Confidence: 4/5
This looks like an excellent spot for a long match at the US Open. Michelsen is the favorite, with Tennis.com giving him a 74% chance of winning, but Etcheverry is the higher-ranked player and has the game to make this competitive.
Both players have shown the ability to compete in tight matches, and the best-of-five format gives Etcheverry plenty of opportunity to push Michelsen beyond three sets. Michelsen also arrives in excellent form after three straight-set victories at the US Open.
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This looks like a strong candidate for a long US Open battle. Medvedev is the slight favorite, with Tennis sights giving him a 56% projected win probability, but Tiafoe has already shown strong form in New York and is into the fourth round for the sixth time in seven years.
The matchup is also more competitive than the rankings suggest. Medvedev leads the recent hard-court matchup, but their overall H2H is only 2-1 in Medvedev’s favor, and Tiafoe’s aggressive game and home crowd support could make this difficult for the Russian to close out quickly.