Prediction in San Antonio!
Smith scored 30 points in Houston’s season-opening 128–110 win over Dallas, and he went over 13,5 points in 9 of his last 10 games according to historical prop data. He averaged 15,9 points per game last season, making this line look attainable if he maintains a similar
Match: Spurs vs Rockets
League / Competition: NBA
Our Pick: Jabari Smith over 13,5 points
Odds: 1.92
Market: Player Props
Analyst Confidence: 5/5
Jabari Smith Jr. enters this matchup in excellent scoring form after dropping 30 points against Dallas in Houston’s opener. Historical prop data also shows that he cleared the 13,5-point line in 9 of his last 10 games, while his 2025–26 season average was 15,9 points per game.
Smith’s ability to score from the perimeter and contribute alongside Houston’s star players gives him a promising path to 14 or more points.